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Our scenarios

Explore each scenario in depth

Over the coming months, we will release a series of hypothetical, but plausible systemic risk scenarios. Each scenario will reveal the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) losses if each event were to occur in the next five years, across 107 countries and at three levels of severity (major, severe, and extreme).  

01. Extreme weather leading to food and water shock

02. Illuminating cyber crime

03. Deconstructing global economic stagnation

04. Volcanic eruption

05. Revealing the risks of geopolitical conflict