Solar Storm Surge

Neil Smith Last week three solar flares, including the largest in four years, erupted in the direction of the Earth.

These flares can disrupt technology and communications on Earth. However, far from being a one off, such occurrences may be a sign of things to come as we head towards a period of increased solar activity.

Solar flares and other forms of “space weather” are not new phenomena. However, what has changed is the potential impact of space weather on earth – we live in an increasingly interconnected and digitised world and it is this dependency on technology that makes us most susceptible to space weather. Solar flares, or more accurately coronal mass ejections, unleash waves of charged particles, which cause geomagnetic storms when they hit the earth’s magnetic field. These storms can seriously disrupt power grids and communications systems.

This is particularly timely as the sun moves through periodical cycles of activity and we’re currently moving towards a period of high activity with the “solar max” predicted around 2013/14. Although solar activity in this cycle may not be as high as in some cycles in the past, we have never before been so dependent on interconnected technologies and systems across the world. It is no surprise that Governments are looking seriously at the issue of space weather. Yesterday the Government’s chief scientific adviser, Professor Sir John Beddington, warned that a perfect solar storm could cause more than £1.2 trillion of damage to the Earth’s communication systems.

Last week’s solar flares may not have caused widespread disruption, but did affect communications in parts of Asia. Now is not the time for complacency.

For more information on potential impact of space weather, please refer to http://www.lloyds.com/News-and-Insight/360-Risk-Insight/Space
 

Comments

Showing: 2 comments

Sun 17 Apr
che_2009

We here in India did feel some interruptions in cellular networks but I am surprised to see that no one (including reinsurers) is actually thinking on devising a product for covering such diruptions and as per predictions on spaceweather.com it seems the solar max would reach much before 2014.Really need to design a product to cover this risk for not only power transmisson companies, cellular and even aviation and space agencies.

Wed 20 Apr
Neil Smith

Thanks for the comment Che_2009. By producing http://www.lloyds.com/News-and-Insight/360-Risk-Insight/~/media/Lloyds/Reports/360%20Space%20Weather/7311_Lloyds_360_Space%20Weather_03.pdf">this paper, our primary aim in the first instance was to raise awareness among both businesses and insurers as to the possible impacts of space weather on earth, especially as we head towards a solar maximum in 2014 (or earlier as you indicate). Raising awareness and understanding of this issue is an essential first step for businesses to manage this risk and take immediate steps to mitigate. In terms of insurance, there will be huge challenges around quantifying the impact of space weather and the current lack of data, as well as in relation to the potential scale of any events. These will need to be addressed before insurers consider potential products in this area



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